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		<title>The Days, Years After: Recovering from Bigger, Badder Disasters</title>
		<link>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2011/08/31/days_years_after/</link>
		<comments>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2011/08/31/days_years_after/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Aug 2011 00:27:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>J.A. Ginsburg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Diaster relief]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earthquake]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[famine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[floods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Haiti]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hurricanes]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[water]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Christchurch earthquakes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fukushima]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[green energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Haiti earthquakes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hurricane irene]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hurricane katrina]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joplin tornado]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan floods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Queensland floods]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/?p=2227</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Link suite overview: on recovering from disasters; the lessons of Irene, Joplin, Fukushima, Pakistan flood, Queensland flood, Christchurch quakes, Haiti quakes, Katrina; collateral damage and eco-smart design as insurance It has been a banner year for disasters in the US with  a record-breaking 10 &#8220;billion-dollar-plus&#8221; knock-out punches, and still four months to go. So far: [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=trackerblog.trackernews.net&amp;blog=5409186&amp;post=2227&amp;subd=trackerblog&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<h4><span style="color:#ac333f;">Link suite overview: on recovering from disasters; the lessons of Irene, Joplin, Fukushima, Pakistan flood, Queensland flood, Christchurch quakes, Haiti quakes, Katrina; collateral damage and eco-smart design as insurance</span></h4>
<div id="attachment_2231" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 431px"><a href="http://www.trackernews.net"><img class="size-full wp-image-2231 " title="irenetrackernews" src="http://trackerblog.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/irenetrackernews.jpg?w=468" alt=""   /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Links become part of the TrackerNews searchable database.</p></div>
<p>It has been a banner year for disasters in the US with  <a title="Hurricane Irene Will Make 2011 a Record Disaster Year" href="http://www.livescience.com/15801-hurricane-irene-billion-dollar-disaster.html" target="_blank">a record-breaking 10 &#8220;billion-dollar-plus&#8221; knock-out punches</a>, and still four months to go. So far: massive blizzards, epic floods, murderous tornadoes and one staggeringly large, coast-shredding hurricane. As  a grace note, an earthquake on an previously unknown fault in Virginia put cracks in the Washington monument—a wound as disturbing symbolically as structurally.</p>
<p>Globally, the news is no less jaw-dropping: Floods stretching to the horizon in Australia and Pakistan. Two devastating earthquakes <em>each</em> for New Zealand and Haiti. And a <a title="&quot;trifecta&quot; / wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trifecta" target="_blank">trifecta</a> of tragedy in Japan where an earthquake triggered a tsunami that drowned a nuclear plant.</p>
<p>Droughts—comparatively stealthy as disasters go—only grab headlines when people start keeling over from starvation by the tens of thousands (Somalia), or crop losses are so large, sticker shock sets in at the grocery store, while global food security—which means global security—becomes notably less secure (Russia, US).</p>
<p>The only bright spot in this litany of gloomy news is that communication during and about disasters has improved markedly.  As Hurricane Irene buzz-sawed its way up the eastern seaboard, The Weather Channel went into overdrive, leading a media mob—both mainstream and &#8220;citizen&#8221;—reporting, tweeting, crowdmapping, photographing, making videos, texting donations, aggregating, blogging, facebooking, and sharing every last little nugget of awful news.</p>
<p>It made a difference. People got out of harm&#8217;s way. Although the death toll has now climbed into mid-forties, with likely a few thousand more injured, an estimated 65 <em>million</em> people felt some part of Irene&#8217;s fury. Most stayed safe, which is remarkable.</p>
<p>Yet for all the technical brilliance that made it possible to track a weather blip off the coast of Africa to its lethal landfall an ocean away, or to plan mass evacuations, share safety tips and keep track of loved ones, there was no <em>stopping</em> Irene. Financial losses may have been less than expected—mostly because property values are lower in Vermont than in New York City—but they are enormous and devastating. Homes have been torn apart, lives turned upside down.</p>
<p>The collateral damage has yet to be tallied from lost incomes, delayed school starts, <a title="Hurricane Irene's Health Risks Likely To Linger " href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/08/27/hurricane-irene-health-mold-water-pollution_n_938919.html" target="_blank">exposure to toxic mold, toxic water, mosquito-borne illnesses</a> and weakened infrastructure.</p>
<p>It becomes a vicious circle: Until businesses affected by the storm are up and running again, tax revenues will decline, making it that much more difficult to pay for repairs or proactive maintenance. In Japan and New Zealand, bonds and special taxes are now on the table to cope with recovery costs estimated in the tens of billions of dollars.</p>
<p>In fact, the high cost of these mega-disasters—often quoted a percentage of a country&#8217;s GDP—can itself become a cost. Insurance companies, faced with catastrophic losses, are hiking rates and <a title="Are you covered? Answers to your Irene insurance questions" href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/08/29/us-storm-irene-personalfi-idUSTRE77S4DD20110829" target="_blank">cutting coverage</a>. But the more businesses and home-owners are forced to spend on insurance and out-of-pocket expenses, the less money they have to expand businesses or make purchases.</p>
<p>There are also more people than ever in harm&#8217;s way. <a title="Insurers 'need a greater say' " href="http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/5439280/Insurers-need-a-greater-say" target="_blank">Much of the development in Queensland, Australia over the last 30 years, for example, was on a floodplain.</a></p>
<p>Although specific storms are difficult to link directly to climate change, our warmer world holds more moisture in its atmosphere than it did even just a few decades ago. That means there is more rain to to be rained, and more energy to interact and magnify well-known weather drivers such as El Nino / La Nina.</p>
<p>Whether or not this is the &#8220;new normal&#8221; remains to be seen. It certainly seems to be the &#8220;more frequent.&#8221;</p>
<h3><span style="color:#008000;">IN RECOVERY</span></h3>
<p><em><span style="color:#008000;">&#8220;The Days, Years After,&#8221;</span></em> a new link suite story on the <span style="color:#008000;"><a title="TrackerNews" href="http://www.TrackerNews.net" target="_blank"><span style="color:#008000;"><strong>TrackerNews</strong></span></a></span> aggregator, looks at a half dozen disasters from the last few years, focusing on recovery efforts. Each disaster is tragic in its own way, but patterns emerge.</p>
<ul>
<li>Political gridlock (<a title="Anger in tsunami zone over Japan power games" href="http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Anger_in_tsunami_zone_over_Japan_power_games_999.html" target="_blank">Japan</a>) can be just as devastating as corruption (<a title="Rebuilding Haiti The long, hard haul" href="http://www.economist.com/node/18390114" target="_blank">Haiti</a>) in slowing recovery</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Good communications networks make a tangible difference (<a title="Rebuild Joplin" href="http://rebuildjoplin.org/about" target="_blank">Joplin</a>, New York)</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Donor burn-out threatens (anyone remember Jay-Z, Bono, the Edge and Rihanna crooning, <a title="Haiti Mon Amour" href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0bcQbEgbsbw" target="_blank">&#8220;We&#8217;re not going to leave you stranded,&#8221;</a> to Haiti&#8217;s quake victims?)</li>
</ul>
<p>On a more encouraging note, all sorts of new and better tools for  mapping, clean-up, construction and communication have emerged since Hurricane Katrina, all made accessible, and some made possible, by the web.</p>
<p>Many of the technologies are eco-smart, which turns out to be a good disaster defense strategy as well.</p>
<p>Imagine, for example, the difference it would have made if the electric grid in the Northeast had been based on a distributed power paradigm. Rather than large central power plants generating electricity transported over long distances on vulnerable wires, individual buildings and neighborhoods would generate their own, preferably green, power. <a title="Giant Fluid Batteries Could Store Renewable Energy for 2,000 Homes" href="http://inhabitat.com/scientists-devloping-giant-fluid-batteries-that-could-could-store-renewable-energy-for-2000-homes/" target="_blank">Batteries capable of storing enough energy from solar panels and wind-turbines to power as many as 2,000 homes</a> would be tied into local grid, which could, in turn, could be tied into a larger grid. A hurricane would still knock lights out, but <em>not</em> to <a title="Irene leaves 5.5 million without power. Can power companies do better?" href="http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/2011/0829/Irene-leaves-5.5-million-without-power.-Can-power-companies-do-better" target="_blank">millions of people</a>.</p>
<p>Clean, green energy independence means energy insurance, too.</p>
<p>Additional highlights of the link suite include:</p>
<ul>
<li><a title="Make It Right Foundation" href="http://www.makeitrightnola.org/" target="_blank">Make It Right Foundation</a></li>
</ul>
<span style="text-align:center; display: block;"><a href="http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2011/08/31/days_years_after/"><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/nVwulENEDg8/2.jpg" alt="" /></a></span>
<ul>
<li><a title="A Conversation of Cameron Sinclair" href="http://www.theatlantic.com/life/archive/2011/03/a-conversation-with-cameron-sinclair-ceo-of-architecture-for-humanity/72782/" target="_blank">A Conversation with Cameron Sinclair, CEO of Architecture for Humanity </a>/ <em>The Atlantic</em>, Daniel Fromson</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a title="Ocean Springs Cottages" href="http://blog.gulflive.com/mississippi-press-news/2011/08/ocean_springs_cottages_at_oak.html" target="_blank">Ocean Springs Cottages at Oak Park are ready for business and feature green amenities</a>  / <em>The Mississippi Press</em>, Cherie Wood</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a title="QuaDror: A New Structural System" href="http://www.archdaily.com/114141/quadror-a-new-structural-system/" target="_blank">QuaDror: A New Structural System</a> / <em>Arch Daily</em>, Kelly Minner</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a title="When the Water Rises" href="http://nymag.com/arts/architecture/features/64304/" target="_blank">When the Water Rises</a> / <em>New York magazine</em>, Justin Davidson</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a title="Irene Recovery Map" href="http://blog.ushahidi.com/index.php/2011/08/28/irene-recovery-map/" target="_blank">Irene Recovery Map: For Ordinary People Helping Ordinary People</a> / <em>Ushahidi blog</em>, Patrick Meier</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a title="Exploring Joplin, Missouri, Recovering from Disaster" href="http://www.gadling.com/2011/08/25/exploring-joplin-missouri-recovering-from-disaster/" target="_blank">Exploring Joplin, Missouri, Recovering from Disaster</a> / <em>Traveling the American Road</em>, Paul Brady</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a title="Virgina Quake Raises Questions" href="http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=virginia-quake-raises-questions-about-east-coast-infrastructure" target="_blank">Virginia Quake Raises More Questions About US East Coast Infrastructure</a> / <em>Scientific American</em>, Michael Moyer</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a title="Blue Goo Sucks Up Toxic Waste" href="http://money.cnn.com/2011/05/25/technology/toxic_waste_cleanup_goo/index.htm" target="_blank">Blue Goo Sucks Up Toxic Waste</a>  / <em>CNN Money</em>, Eilene Zimmerman</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a title="Tech to make buildings earthquake and tsunami resistant" href="http://www.popularmechanics.com/technology/engineering/architecture/earthquake-and-tsunami-resistant-building-tech-5382936" target="_blank">The Tech to Make Buildings Earthquake—and Tsunami—Resistant</a> / <em>Popular Mechanics</em>, Andrew Moseman</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a title="How the World Failed Haiti" href="http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/how-the-world-failed-haiti-20110804" target="_blank">How the World Failed Haiti</a> / <em>Rolling Stone</em>, Janet Reitman</li>
</ul>
<p>&#8230; and much more (all links become part of the <a title="TrackerNews &quot;search&quot;" href="http://www.trackernews.net/search/" target="_blank"><span style="color:#008000;"><em>TrackerNews</em></span> searchable database</a>)</p>
<h4><span style="color:#008000;">RELATED</span></h4>
<ul>
<li><a title="The Nuke Factor" href="http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2011/03/21/the-nuke-factor/" target="_blank">The Nuke Factor: How to Make Disasters Worse and the Implications for Humanitarian Aid</a> / <span style="color:#008000;"><em>TrackerNews Editor&#8217;s Blog</em></span>, J.A. Ginsburg</li>
</ul>
<p><span style="color:#008000;"><em><a title="trackernews on twitter" href="http://twitter.com/TrackerNews"><span style="color:#008000;">— @TrackerNews</span></a></em></span></p>
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		<title>More Incentive to Clean Up the Gulf: The X Prize Foundation Announces the Wendy Schmidt Oil Clean-up X Challenge</title>
		<link>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2010/07/31/oilcleanupxprize/</link>
		<comments>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2010/07/31/oilcleanupxprize/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jul 2010 21:35:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>J.A. Ginsburg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Peter Diamandis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wendy Schmidt Oil Clean-up X Challenge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[X Prize]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Idea first floated at the TEDxOilSpill conference by Francis Belland of the X Prize Foundation and David Gallo of Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute becomes real. Since the BP gusher started spewing millions of gallons of crude oil and methane into the Gulf of Mexico more that three months ago, there have other high profile spills, [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=trackerblog.trackernews.net&amp;blog=5409186&amp;post=1511&amp;subd=trackerblog&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<p><em><span style="color:#800000;">Idea first floated at the <a href="http://www.TEDxOilSpill.com" target="_blank">TEDxOilSpill conference</a> by Francis Belland of the X Prize Foundation and David Gallo of Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute becomes real.</span></em></p>
<p><a href="http://iprizecleanoceans.org/Page/Home"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1515" title="xprize" src="http://trackerblog.files.wordpress.com/2010/07/xprize2.jpg?w=192&#038;h=87" alt="" width="192" height="87" /></a>Since the BP gusher started spewing millions of gallons of crude oil and methane into the Gulf of Mexico more that three months ago, there have other high profile spills, including one of<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/31/world/asia/31dalian.html" target="_blank"> China&#8217;s largest, near the city of Dalian, that created a 170 mile slick</a>. Closer to my home in Chicago, a <a href="http://www.freep.com/article/20100731/NEWS06/7310355/1322/Oil-spill-probe-launched" target="_blank">pipeline break released over 800,000 gallons into western Michigan&#8217;s Kalamazoo river</a>, which flows into Lake Michigan.</p>
<p>Last year, Australia took a one-two punch, first with a<a href="http://www.freep.com/article/20100731/NEWS06/7310355/1322/Oil-spill-probe-launched" target="_blank"> tanker spill that fouled 40 miles of Queensland&#8217;s coast</a>, then an <a href="http://www.nola.com/news/gulf-oil-spill/index.ssf/2010/06/australian_oil_well_blowout_fo.html" target="_blank">oil rig blow-out eerily similar to the Deepwater Horizon disaster</a>. In<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/may/30/oil-spills-nigeria-niger-delta-shell" target="_blank"> Nigeria, oil spills have become such an every day nightmare &#8211; an estimated 7,000 between 1970 and 2000 </a>- that the tally is measured in units of &#8220;Exxon Valdez&#8221; (over 50 and still counting).</p>
<p>Clearly, if you drill, it will spill. Although the<a href="http://iprizecleanoceans.org/Page/Home" target="_blank"> X Prize Foundation&#8217;s Oil Clean-up Challenge </a>was developed in response to the mess in the Gulf, its importance goes far beyond our local oily waters. &#8220;The oil industry has focused on,&#8221;How do you drill deeper, further, more efficiently. Little money has actually been spent so far on &#8220;How do you clean it up properly?&#8217;, &#8221; notes Peter Diamandis,  X Prize CEO.</p>
<p>With $1.4 million in incentive prizes provided by the <a href="http://theschmidt.org/">Schmidt Family Foundation</a>, the Challenge is designed to wrap up next summer, with demonstrations of the promising technologies at the<a href="www.ohmsett.com" target="_blank"> National Oil Spill Response Research &amp; Renewable Energy Test  Facility (OHMSETT)</a> in Leonardo, New Jersey.</p>
<span style="text-align:center; display: block;"><a href="http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2010/07/31/oilcleanupxprize/"><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/SaFY760OasE/2.jpg" alt="" /></a></span>
<h4><span style="color:#008000;">RELATED READING:</span></h4>
<p><a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/wendy-schmidt/introducing-the-oil-clean_b_663827.html" target="_blank">&#8220;Introducing the Oil Clean-up Challenge,&#8221;</a> by Wendy Schmidt, <em>Huffington Post</em></p>
<p><a href="http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2010/07/02/tedxoilspill/" target="_blank">&#8220;TEDxOilSpill: Surface Slicks, Deep Water Despair, Galaxies of Oil Platforms and Why We Really, Truly, Don&#8217;t Need Oil&#8221;</a> by J.A. Ginsburg, <em>TrackerNews Editor&#8217;s Blog</em></p>
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		<title>Hot, Cold, Wet, Dry: When Weather Becomes Climate</title>
		<link>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2010/07/27/hot-cold-wet-dry-when-weather-becomes-climate/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Jul 2010 06:30:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>J.A. Ginsburg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[disease surveillance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drought]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[epidemiology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[famine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[floods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[food]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TrackerBlog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[water]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[An Inconvenient Truth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blights]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cassava virus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China floods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extreme weather]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Green Revolution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[heat waves]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hunger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[late blight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norman Borlaug]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia drought]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tree ring data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ug99]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wheat stem rust]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The past as prologue: fortune-telling from tree rings; The Green Revolution hits the skids: genetically resilient pathogens and monoculture crops What happens when the future comes early? When does record-breaking weather segue from unfortunate inconvenience to an inconvenient truth? When&#8230; China reports massive floods affecting 75% of its provinces? The tally of dead and missing [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=trackerblog.trackernews.net&amp;blog=5409186&amp;post=1472&amp;subd=trackerblog&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<div><span style="color:#a01727;"><em>The past as prologue: fortune-telling from tree rings; The Green Revolution hits the skids: genetically resilient pathogens and monoculture crops</em></span></div>
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<p>What happens when the future comes early? When does record-breaking weather segue from unfortunate inconvenience to an inconvenient truth?</p>
<div id="attachment_1485" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 208px"><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wnjx6KETmi4"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1485" title="inconvenientbigposter" src="http://trackerblog.files.wordpress.com/2010/07/inconvenientbigposter.jpg?w=198&#038;h=300" alt="" width="198" height="300" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Trailer from Al Gore&#039;s documentary on climate change</p></div>
<p>When&#8230;</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I0wHmCekOFU&amp;feature=player_embedded#!">China reports massive floods affecting 75% of its provinces</a>? The tally of dead and missing now tops 1,000, with the devastation said to affect 110 million people. 645,000 homes have been destroyed. The economic hit is estimated to at $21 billion &#8211; and rising. <em>Or&#8230;</em></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/LDE66J06M.htm" target="_blank">Russia has a drought like it hasn&#8217;t seen in 130 years</a>? The country&#8217;s breadbasket is toast: 20% of the wheat crop is lost at a financial cost that could easily exceed $1 billion.<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-08-01/russian-fires-spread-to-500-square-miles-as-wind-picks-up-amid-record-heat.html" target="_blank"> Wildfires have consumed hundreds of square miles.</a> In Moscow, lack of air conditioning and love of liquor has led to thousands of &#8220;swimming while drunk&#8221; deaths. (update 8/8/10: <a href="http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2010/0808/Russia-wildfires-Thick-toxic-smog-chokes-Moscow-residents" target="_blank">Peat fires send Moscow pollution levels soaring, a third of the wheat crop lost, exports temporarily banned</a>)  (update 8/10/10: <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/aug/08/russia-nuclear-base-wildfires" target="_blank">Russians defend nuclear sites from fires</a>) <em>Or&#8230;</em></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=360445&amp;CategoryId=14093" target="_blank">Argentina and Uruguay shiver in below freezing temperatures</a>? Hypothermia in the streets of Buenos Aires and snow reported in seaside resort town. (update 8/6/10: <a href="http://www.aolnews.com/world/article/chilly-in-chile-south-america-hit-by-freak-cold-snap/19583528" target="_blank">Chilly in Chile, 6 million freshwater fish freeze in Bolivia, snow in Brazil and Argentina, avocado, lemon, orange crops decimated</a>)  <em>Or&#8230;</em></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.examiner.com/x-51470-MidlandOdessa-Conservative-Examiner~y2010m7d7-Rio-Grande-flood-causes-evacution-of-Texas-homes-death-of-Mexican-mayor" target="_blank">the Rio Grande actually looks like a big raging river</a>? Some sections along the U.S. / Mexican border have risen 17 feet and more above flood stage, cutting off clean water supplies, affecting tens of thousands of people, destroying thousands of homes and triggering mass evacuations. <em>Or&#8230;</em></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5g0PhnTb4o3duUzEmhpSNiZ8WZvWA" target="_blank">Pakistan and Afghanistan are devasted by record monsoon rains, causing hundreds of deaths</a>? <a href="http://www.unicef.org/infobycountry/pakistan_55400.html" target="_blank">More than three million people affected</a>, according to U.N. estimates, including 1.4 million children. Large areas of farmland destroyed and unprecedented flooding. (update: 8/8/10: <a href="http://www.csmonitor.com/World/terrorism-security/2010/0808/Pakistan-floods-now-worse-than-2005-earthquake-say-officials" target="_blank">Over 1,000 deaths, 12 million affected, damage worse than 2005 earthquake</a>) (update 8/10/10: <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-south-asia-10930465" target="_blank">14 million affected, thousands of villages wiped out, hundreds of kilometers of roads and bridges</a>) (update 8/14/10: <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/aug/14/pakistan-flooding-disaster-partition-gilani" target="_blank">20 million affected, 1,600 dead, tens of thousands at risk for cholera</a>) <em>Or&#8230;</em></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="NOAA reports the planet has steadily been growing warm for the last 50 years" target="_blank">NOAA reports the planet has steadily been growing warmer for the last 50 years</a> and that<a href="http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=average-global-temperature-rise-creates-new-normal" target="_blank"> 2010 is on track to becoming the hottest year on record</a>? For the last 304 months (a little over 25 years), the average monthly global temperatures have exceed the average for entire 2oth century. This past June was the hottest on record.</li>
</ul>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Warmer than average global temperatures have become the <a href="http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=avoiding-dangers-of-climate-change">new normal</a>,&#8221; says Jay Lawrimore, chief of climate analysis at NOAA&#8217;s National Climatic Data Center, which tracks these numbers. &#8220;The global temperature has increased more than 1 degree Fahrenheit [0.7 degree C] since 1900 and the rate of warming since the late 1970s has been about three times greater than the century-scale trend.&#8221;&#8230;</p>
<p>&#8230;&#8221;Frankly, I was expecting that we&#8217;d see large temperature increases later this century with higher greenhouse gas levels and <a href="http://www.scientificamerican.com/topic.cfm?id=global-warming-and-climate-change">global warming</a>,&#8221; Stanford climate scientist Noah Diffenbaugh, who headed up the research, said in a <a href="http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2010-07/su-hwc070810.php">prepared statement</a>. &#8220;I did not expect to see anything this large within the next three decades.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Was last Spring&#8217;s <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2010/US/weather/05/02/nashville.flooding/index.html" target="_blank"> Nashville flood</a>, which took the region by surprise after 13 inches of rain fell in 24 hours, a local catastrophe or part of much larger trend? What about the 8 inch <a href="http://www.jsonline.com/news/milwaukee/99107144.html" target="_blank">deluge than drowned Milwaukee</a> last week? <a href="http://www.aolnews.com/surge-desk/article/freak-bronx-tornado-wreaks-havoc-video/19569324" target="_blank">Or the second tornado <em>ever</em> to hit the Bronx</a>?</p>
<h4><span style="color:#008000;">WEATHER HAPPENS / CLIMATES CHANGE</span></h4>
<p>If man-made greenhouse gases are behind the deadly weather, that&#8217;s <em>good </em>news: We can still do something about it. But as a <a href="http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/04/100422153929.htm" target="_blank">new study of historic droughts in Asia shows, the ramifications of disturbed weather patterns can be devastating</a>, no matter what the cause.</p>
<p>Scientists at Columbia University&#8217;s Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory spent 15 years collecting samples from more than 300 sites across Asia to create an atlas of tree ring data for monsoon weather patterns. The correlations between major droughts and political unrest are striking, if not completely surprising. From the collapse of the Khmer civilization to the demise of the Ming Dynasty and the French Revolution, nothing topples a government faster than a desperate hungry mob.</p>
<blockquote><p>Perhaps the worst drought, the scientists found, was the Victorian-era &#8220;Great Drought&#8221; of 1876-1878. The effects were felt across the tropics; by some estimates, resulting famines killed up to 30 million people. According to the tree-ring evidence, the effects were especially acute in India, but extended as far away as China and present-day Indonesia. Colonial-era policies left regional societies ill-equipped to deal with the drought&#8217;s consequences, as historian Mike Davis details in his book Late Victorian Holocausts. Famine and cholera outbreaks at this time in colonial Vietnam fueled a peasant revolt against the French.</p></blockquote>
<p>The political opposition to the now <a href="http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/07/23/who_killed_the_climate_bill" target="_blank">crippled U.S. Climate Bill</a> should be quaking in their boots. Given the staggering amount of scientific evidence linking human-generated greenhouse gas emissions to global warming and climate change, they will bear the blame for blocking action when it could have made a difference. (According to a new survey published in the <em>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences</em>, <a href="http://content.usatoday.com/communities/sciencefair/post/2010/06/scientists-overwhelmingly-believe-in-man-made-climate-change/1" target="_blank">97% of scientists say climate change &#8220;very likely&#8221; has a man-made component.</a>)</p>
<h3><span style="color:#008000;">A BOUNTY OF BLIGHTS: CAUSE &amp; EFFECT OR COINCIDENCE?</span></h3>
<p>The cruelty of blight is uniquely insidious. Hopes, dreams and futures are destroyed along with crops. A blight is promise snatched away. In a matter of weeks, sometimes days, sometime hours, months of labor is laid to waste and investment is turned to debt.</p>
<p>It doesn&#8217;t take much: just a few invisible spores carried by the wind to a host plant. Once a botanical beach-head is established, blights &#8211; which thrive in the monocultures of modern agriculture &#8211; quickly become &#8220;community diseases,&#8221; spreading from plant to plant, field to field, region to region, painting once verdant fields black with the brush of death.</p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norman_Borlaug" target="_blank">The first major victory in the The Green Revolution</a> was genetic lab-tweak that made wheat impervious to a blight called stem rust, while also increasing yields &#8211; a rare and remarkable &#8220;two-fer&#8221; benefit. So significant was this breakthrough, plant biologist <a href="http://www.borlaugdoc.com/index.html" target="_blank">Norman Borlaug was award the Nobel Prize for it</a>. The dream of eradicating hunger seemed within reach. Yet a little over a half-century later, the solution &#8211; crop protection provided by a single gene &#8211; has become part of the problem.</p>
<p>In 1999, a strain of rust was discovered in a wheat field in Uganda that had evolved past the genetic barrier. Dubbed <a href="http://www.economist.com/node/16481593?story_id=16481593" target="_blank">&#8220;Ug99,&#8221;</a> it has since splintered off into several strains or &#8220;races,&#8221; some of which are impervious to more recently developed multi-gene defenses. In a little over a decade, stem rust has traveled 5,000 miles and now threatens grain production in Africa and Asia, and indirectly threatens production everywhere else. From the pathogen&#8217;s perspective, all wheat has become more or less alike as diversity has been systematically bred away.</p>
<blockquote><p>Wheat is the primary source of calories for millions of people worldwide, and accounts for around 30 percent of global grain production and 44 percent of cereals used as food. Globally, wheat provides nearly 55 percent of the carbohydrates and 20 percent of the food calories we consume every day.</p>
<p>- <a href="http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/05/100526134146.htm" target="_blank"><em>Dr. Mahmoud Solh, Director General of the Syria-based International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas (ICARDA).</em></a></p></blockquote>
<p>With so much at stake, an international collaborative effort, spearheaded by the <a href="http://blog.cimmyt.org/?p=3970" target="_blank">Borlaug Global Rust Initiative,</a> is playing a frantic game of defense, developing resistant strains to deploy strategically as barriers to slow the blight&#8217;s spread. But the work requires the cooperation of countries otherwise at odds, such as India and Pakistan. And it takes money: steady, dependable funding and lots of it.</p>
<span style="text-align:center; display: block;"><a href="http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2010/07/27/hot-cold-wet-dry-when-weather-becomes-climate/"><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/oX-0-OAWieE/2.jpg" alt="" /></a></span>
<p>Stem rust isn&#8217;t the only globetrotting super-pathogen:</p>
<ul>
<li>An especially aggressive strain of <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/01/science/01cassava.html?_r=1" target="_blank">brown streak virus is attacking Cassava</a>, a staple for 800 million people in Africa, Asia and South America. In the 6 years since it was first spotted in East Africa, it has spread at pandemic speed. Cassava, a drought-tolerant plant that requires very little tending, is particularly important for regions beset with malaria and HIV/AIDS. Its loss means billions of dollars more needed for basic food aid. <a href="http://www.irinnews.org/Report.aspx?Reportid=89855" target="_blank">Cassava is also under siege from mealybugs in Thailand,</a> which produces 60% of the world exports. Last year, many farmers suffered lost their entire crop.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.rodale.com/tomato-blight" target="_blank">Late blight</a>, a.k.a. the blight that caused <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Famine_%28Ireland%29" target="_blank">Ireland&#8217;s Great Potato Famine</a>, turns out to also have a taste for American tomatoes. Last year, its spores not only rode the wind, but took to the highways, hitching on seedling plants trucked to home improvement stores across the country. In only two years, it appears to have become entrenched.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/06/100601151112.htm" target="_blank">Stripe rust</a>, another wheat  plague, was recently discovered to have an alternate host, the common ornamental barberry plant, on which the fungus sexually reproduces. The resulting genetic diversity of the fungus, set against the genetic uniformity of wheat, supplies the resilience that has made it so difficult to stamp out.</li>
</ul>
<p>A warming world favors pathogens&#8217; survival over winter, while shifting weather patterns can blow them into new territories. Human-mediated transport (trade and travel) clearly play a large role as well.</p>
<p>Whatever the drivers, these colliding trends of record-breaking weather / climate change and emerging plant diseases spell big trouble for global food security. <a href="http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424052970204078204575377360730365720.html?mod=BOL_hpp_mag" target="_blank">In just the past month, wheat prices spiked 30%,</a> due mostly to the Russian drought. Russia will still have enough for domestic needs, but higher prices are expected to drive up inflation, and there will be that much less for export. Stem rust primarily affects small farmers gowing for local consumption in the developing countries. Higher global commodity prices also translates into higher food aid costs.</p>
<p>According to the scientists at NOAA, the extreme weather of 2010 may very well be the &#8220;new normal.&#8221; Hotter, colder, wetter, drier. And way beyond inconvenient.</p>
<h4><span style="color:#008000;">FURTHER READING</span></h4>
<ul>
<li><span style="color:#008000;"><span style="color:#000000;"><a href="http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2010/20100715_globalstats.html" target="_blank">&#8220;NOAA: June, April to June, and Year-to-Date Global Temperatures are the Warmest on Record,&#8221;</a> NOAA data sheet (2010)</span></span></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2010/20100728_stateoftheclimate.html" target="_blank">&#8220;NOAA: 2009 State of the Climate Report; Past Decade Warmest on Record According to Scientists in 48 Countries&#8221;</a> (published July, 2010)</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><span style="color:#008000;"><span style="color:#000000;"><a href="http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/17390/183346?RS_show_page=0" target="_blank">&#8220;Climate Bill, R.I.P.&#8221;</a> by Tom Wilkinson, <em>Rolling Stone</em></span></span></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><span style="color:#008000;"><span style="color:#000000;"><a href="http://www.economist.com/node/16481593?story_id=16481593" target="_blank">&#8220;Rust in the Bread Basket: A crop-killing fungus is spreading out of Africa towards the world&#8217;s great wheat-growing areas,&#8221;</a><em> The Economist</em></span></span></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><span style="color:#008000;"><span style="color:#000000;"><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Al-Gore/e/B000AP8Y7G/ref=sr_tc_2_0?qid=1280232578&amp;sr=1-2-ent" target="_blank">Al Gore&#8217;s Amazon books page</a></span></span></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=phytoplankton-population" target="_blank">Phytoplankton Population Drops 40% Since 1950: Researchers find trouble among phytoplankton, the base of the food chain, which has implications for the marine food web and the world&#8217;s carbon cycle</a> by Lauren Morello,  <em>ClimateWire, Scientific American</em></li>
</ul>
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		<title>TrackerNews and the Human Algorithm, PopTech, PopTracker and a Challenge</title>
		<link>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2009/12/08/the-human-algorithm-poptech-poptracker-a-challenge/</link>
		<comments>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2009/12/08/the-human-algorithm-poptech-poptracker-a-challenge/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Dec 2009 00:35:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>J.A. Ginsburg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[TrackerNews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[curated news]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daniel Nocera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Wesch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PopTech 2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PopTracker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Willie Smits]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[At TrackerNews, our approach is a little different from most aggregators. While they focus either on the latest or most popular stories, we focus on context. Stories cycle through the site in groups to deliver  a more faceted experience: breaking news is paired with archived stories, research papers, blog posts, websites, book reviews, e-books &#8211; [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=trackerblog.trackernews.net&amp;blog=5409186&amp;post=1035&amp;subd=trackerblog&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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At <em><a href="http://TrackerNews.net" target="_blank">TrackerNews</a></em>, our approach is a little different from most aggregators. While they focus either on the latest or most popular stories, we focus on context. Stories cycle through the site in groups to deliver  a more faceted experience: breaking news is paired with archived stories, research papers, blog posts, websites, book reviews, e-books &#8211; print, audio, video. Every link is researched, reviewed, summarized, curated. Stephen Baker, former<em> <a href="http://www.businessweek.com" target="_blank">BusinessWeek</a></em><em><span style="font-style:normal;"> journalist and author of the <em><a href="http://thenumerati.net/" target="_blank">The Numerati</a></em><a href="http://thenumerati.net/" target="_blank">,</a> summed up it best: &#8220;</span>TrackerNews<span style="font-style:normal;"> puts the human algorithm back in the equation.&#8221;</span></em></p>
<p>We are not opposed to automated news feeds. Indeed, we scour them all the time. But they tend to skew to the new and the popular. Likewise, search engines often have hidden skews, affecting the order in which links appear (sponsored links, deals with news organizations, SEO tricks, etc.). Thousands of links make come up in a Google search, but who ever goes beyond the second page? As Mies van der Rohe pithily noted, &#8220;Less is more.&#8221;</p>
<div id="attachment_1050" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/33214485@N02/show/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1050" title="bhopalslideshowblog" src="http://trackerblog.files.wordpress.com/2009/12/bhopalslideshowblog.jpg?w=300&#038;h=219" alt="" width="300" height="219" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">&quot;TrackerNews&quot; Screen Grab Slide Show</p></div>
<p>Over the last year, <em>TrackerNews</em> has covered everything from malaria, mapping and microfinance, to chemical spills, earthquakes, political protests, human trafficking, energy, lighting, mobile tech, logistics, floods, famines, urban farming, the bushmeat trade, rapid diagnostics, mental illness and global warming. Our searchable database, which also includes an extensive collections of resources, has swelled to 3,000+ links and is just beginning to get interesting. (see slide show)</p>
<p><em><span style="font-style:normal;"><strong><span style="color:#008000;">THE POPTECH TRACKER: A BETA DEMO<span id="more-1035"></span></span></strong></span></em></p>
<p>Ironically, as our database grows day by day, becoming a richer and more useful resource, its very size may itself start to become an issue.</p>
<p>The <a href="http://www.trackernews.net/poptech" target="_blank">PopTech &#8217;09 Tracker</a> (&#8220;PopTracker&#8221;) is an experiment in managing a tremendous number of links that relate to a single overarching subject. Conference presenters, teachers, fellows, along with PopTech-sponsored programs,  have been sorted into categories, then listed alphabetically. Between 4 and 10 related links are attached to each person or program, including presentation videos (added as they become available).</p>
<p>Even in its bare-bones format, the PopTracker shows promise as an at-a-glance research tool. Ultimately, our goal is to create a tool that will not only give <em>everyone</em> the ability to curate and organize information themselves, but also to share content with others using graphically intuitive templates. This is just a first step.</p>
<p>It has, however, been a really fun one.</p>
<div id="attachment_1064" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 478px"><a href="http://www.trackernews.net/poptech"><img class="size-full wp-image-1064 " title="poptech2009tracker" src="http://trackerblog.files.wordpress.com/2009/12/poptech2009tracker.jpg?w=468&#038;h=367" alt="" width="468" height="367" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">PopTech 2009 Tracker  / &quot;PopTracker&quot;</p></div>
<p>With a conference as sprawling as PopTech, it  is impossible for anyone to take it all in, even someone attending every lecture (and a blur of parties&#8230;). Researching and selecting links has been an education, full of delightful surprises. The goal was not to be exhaustive, but to provide insight. The biggest challenge? Trying to figure out which category best captured someone&#8217;s work.</p>
<p>Where do you put a Willie Smits, for example? His agro-forestry schemes repair the environment, while providing both food and energy. Or what about Michael Wesch, whose YouTube research deftly weaves together pop culture, social networks and cultural anthropology?  Or Daniel Nocera, whose &#8220;biomimick a molecule&#8221; fuel cell design not only has the potential to provide an endless supply of clean cheap power,  but purify polluted water in the process?</p>
<p>These are people who live hyphenated lives, who think <em>between </em>the boxes. <a href="http://portablelight.org/" target="_blank">Solar textiles</a>. <a href="http://www.zoekeating.com/">MacBook-ified cello music</a>. <a href="http://www.chandlerburr.com/newsite/page0/ScentDinner.htm" target="_blank">&#8220;Scent&#8221; dinners</a>. C<a href="http://www.poptech.org/blog/luis_von_ahn_captchas_my_fault">yber-security-digital-book-translation</a>. <a href="http://www.growingpower.org" target="_blank">Urban agriculture</a>.</p>
<p>The PopTracker is itself a mash-up as well, riffing on the conference and going beyond it with links to research, books, music and  interviews. Yet while it provides a good way to get a sense of the whole, any cross-disciplinary links must still be made by readers. So&#8230;</p>
<p><span style="color:#008000;"><strong>A CHALLENGE</strong></span></p>
<p>To the graphically gifted (and you know who you are <a href="http://www.frogdesign.com/">Frog Design</a>, <a href="http://www.winterhouse.com/" target="_blank">Winterhouse</a>, <a href="http://nickbilton.com/" target="_blank">Nick Bilton</a>, <a href="http://www.duarte.com/" target="_blank">Nancy Duarte</a>, <a href="http://theofficeof.feltron.com/" target="_blank">Nicholas Felton</a>, et al):</p>
<p>A data visualization showing connections and potential connections between the &#8217;09 PopTech&#8217;ers.</p>
<p>The prize:</p>
<p>A &#8220;Green Bar&#8221; link on <em>TrackerNews</em> &amp; a permanent  &#8221;Red Bar&#8221; link on the PopTracker!</p>
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		<title>Rating Pandemics: Tweaking the WHO Scale for Next Time&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2009/05/07/rating-pandemics/</link>
		<comments>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2009/05/07/rating-pandemics/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 May 2009 13:19:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>J.A. Ginsburg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[disease surveillance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[epidemiology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[swine flu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TrackerNews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[28 Days Later]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CDC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Center for Infection and Immunity at the Mailman School of Public Health of Columbia University]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Centers for Disease Control and Prevention]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Decameron]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global public health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GreeneChips and High Through-put Sequencing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[H1N1]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ian Lipkin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[influenza]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mass Tag PCR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pop!Tech]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rabies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHO phase of pademic alert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World Health Organization]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://trackerblog.instedd.org/?p=554</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last week, the World Health Organization ratcheted up its pandemic rating for swine flu (aka H1N1) all the way to an unprecedented &#8220;pandemic imminent&#8221; level 5, with a top-of-the-chart 6 considered inevitable. Was it time to wear masks? Stock up on Tamiflu and canned goods? Update wills? Pull out old high school lit-class copies of [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=trackerblog.trackernews.net&amp;blog=5409186&amp;post=554&amp;subd=trackerblog&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_565" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 280px"><a href="http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_influenza/phase/en/index.html"><img class="size-medium wp-image-565" title="Current WHO phase of pandemic alert" src="http://trackerblog.files.wordpress.com/2009/05/wholevel5.jpg?w=270&#038;h=144" alt="&quot;Current WHO phase of pandemic alert&quot;" width="270" height="144" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">&quot;Current WHO phase of pandemic alert&quot;</p></div>
<p>Last week, the World Health Organization ratcheted up its pandemic rating for swine flu (aka H1N1) all the way to an unprecedented &#8220;pandemic imminent&#8221; level 5, with a top-of-the-chart 6 considered inevitable. Was it time to wear masks? Stock up on Tamiflu and canned goods? Update wills? Pull out old high school lit-class copies of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Decameron" target="_blank"><em>The Decameron</em></a>?</p>
<p>Well, no. At least not yet. Plenty of people got sick, but is was mostly run-of-the-mill seasonal flu-style misery. Fevers, aches, pains, head-aches, gastrointestinal woes. In the jargon of the public health set: &#8220;mild.&#8221;  Yet swine flu remains an imminent pandemic and will likely be once all the cases are tallied up.</p>
<p>What&#8217;s wrong with this scale?<span id="more-554"></span></p>
<p>Quite a few things, it turns out. But the biggest complaint from doctors (including my neighbor, a hospital administrator at a major medical center in Chicago) has been its emphasis on viral spread rather than  severity of illness.</p>
<p>If hospital staffers weren&#8217;t sure how deeply furrowed their brows should be, how could anyone expect the media to strike the right tone, or the general public to have a clue? A system intended to inject a sense of thoughtful rationality into the management of global public health emergencies has ended up confusing and frightening more the clarifying. Now that the immediate danger appears past, there is almost of a sense of &#8220;Whoops! Nevermind&#8230;&#8221;  <a href="http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N06283215.htm" target="_blank">The CDC is already voicing concern over public complacency</a>, worried people will shrug off warnings the next time. Who&#8217;s fault is that? (literally&#8230;)</p>
<p>A possible easy fix:</p>
<ul>
<li> Add a new level 6 that factors in virulence along with human-to-human transmission, and bump the current level 6 to a 7.<span style="color:#008000;"> <strong></strong></span></li>
</ul>
<p><strong></strong></p>
<p><span style="color:#008000;"><strong>PANDEMICS: FIGHTING THE LAST WAR, PREPARING FOR THE NEXT</strong></span></p>
<p>The scale&#8217;s other issues are more subtle. According to the official <a href="http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_influenza/phase/en/index.html" target="_blank">&#8220;WHO phase of pandemic alert&#8221;</a> webpage, &#8220;pandemic&#8221; means &#8220;influenza pandemic.&#8221; It is as if the SARS scare never happened. In fact, by the WHO&#8217;s definition, HIV/AIDS wouldn&#8217;t make the cut as a pandemic, despite all evidence to the contrary.</p>
<p>Instead of promoting an approach to biosurveillance designed to track both known and novel pathogens, the WHO&#8217;s scale seems oddly specific and limited.</p>
<p>It is even odder considering research the WHO itself has supported to develop cheap rapid diagnostic tests that actually <em>can</em> test for novel pathogens. By a back-of-envelope estimate, 99% of vertebrate viruses have yet to be identified (50,000 vertebrate species, assuming 20 viruses each = 1 million). Since most diseases are zoonotic (meaning they affect multiple species, including humans), such tests are critically important.</p>
<p>Epidemiologist Ian Lipkin, who heads up the <a href="http://cii.columbia.edu/index.html" target="_blank">Center for Infection and Immunity at the Mailman School of Public Health of Columbia University</a>, which as been working with the WHO,  gave a quick overview to three such tests in a recent Pop!Tech lecture: Mass Tag PCR, GreeneChips and High Through-put Sequencing. Each is able to test for dozens of pathogens simultaneously and narrow down candidates. Even if a pathogen hasn&#8217;t been seen before, Lipkin&#8217;s team can identify its family &#8211; what viruses, bacteria or fungi it is related to and how closely &#8211; in a matter of hours.</p>
<div id="attachment_559" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 431px"><a href="http://poptech.org/popcasts/PopCast.aspx?viewcastid=226"><img class="size-full wp-image-559" title="Ian Lipkin at Pop!Tech" src="http://trackerblog.files.wordpress.com/2009/05/lipkin1.jpg?w=468" alt="Ian Lipkin at Pop!Tech"   /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Epidemiologist Ian Lipkin explains cutting edge diagnostics:               &quot;We have the tools to address the risks of pandemics. The implementation difficulties are political and logistical.&quot; </p></div>
<p style="text-align:center;">
<p><strong><span style="color:#008000;">SCIENCE FACT / SCIENCE FICTION</span></strong></p>
<p>What could be worse than pandemic influenza? How about pandemic rabies?  No one is saying the threat is imminent, but the <a href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/05/090504-rabies-evolution.html" target="_blank">recent emergence of a new strain of the virus in Arizona spreading animal-to-animal through casual contact </a>has researchers more than a little concerned.</p>
<p>Rabies attacks the central nervous system, causing victims to become aggressive, crazy and likely to bite, which is how the virus typically transmits. Fortunatelely, unlike flu where a vaccine must be given prior to infection, a rabies vaccine can be given post-infection. That&#8217;s where the good news ends.</p>
<p>The new strain, which mutated from a bat strain, spreads like flu &#8211; no bite required &#8211; vastly increasing transmission efficiency, especially among social animals such as foxes and raccoons. <a href="http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/EID/vol12no08/05-1526.htm" target="_blank">It has also been seen in skunks.</a> Whether the mutated virus can jump to humans is anybody&#8217;s guess, but the fact that it has been observed in foxes means coyotes and dogs are probably at risk. And since foxes, raccoons and skunks have adapted with gusto to the suburban/urban life good life, the opportunity is certainly there.</p>
<p>A wildlife vaccination campaign using an edible vaccine might help contain the spread, but funding is scarce. Howeer, based on limited research, it is clear that the problem has been brewing for a few years, so instead of one small viral fire to put out, there are likely several smoldering across an increasingly large geographic area.</p>
<p><strong><span style="color:#008000;">_________________________________</span></strong></p>
<p>Contagious, fatal madness. An animal disease spread to humans. Civilization ripped to shreds. Shrieks! Screams! Blood! Gore! Wait a minute&#8230;haven&#8217;t we seen this movie?</p>
<span style="text-align:center; display: block;"><a href="http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2009/05/07/rating-pandemics/"><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/sBZnuUZIbBQ/2.jpg" alt="" /></a></span>
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			<media:title type="html">J.A. Ginsburg</media:title>
		</media:content>

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			<media:title type="html">Current WHO phase of pandemic alert</media:title>
		</media:content>

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		<title>Thanksgiving in December&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2008/12/06/thanksgiving-in-december/</link>
		<comments>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2008/12/06/thanksgiving-in-december/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Dec 2008 01:16:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>J.A. Ginsburg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aid Worker Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blood and Milk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Full Circle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[humanitarian.info]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ICT4Peace]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Road to the Horizon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TrackerNews]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The search for good links for TrackerNews has been an adventure. Why should &#8220;bots&#8221; have all the fun crawling the web for tasty content? Those over-achiever algorythmic bits of code will catch on to what I&#8217;ve been doing soon enough. For now, there is room for all in the cyber-universe. TrackerNews could be described as [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=trackerblog.trackernews.net&amp;blog=5409186&amp;post=79&amp;subd=trackerblog&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.TrackerNews.net"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-89" title="trackerwebssite1" src="http://trackerblog.files.wordpress.com/2008/12/trackerwebssite1.jpg?w=300&#038;h=211" alt="trackerwebssite1" width="300" height="211" /></a>The search for good links for <a href="http://www.trackernews.net" target="_blank"><em><strong>TrackerNews</strong></em> </a>has been an adventure. Why should &#8220;bots&#8221; have all the fun crawling the web for tasty content? Those over-achiever algorythmic bits of code will catch on to what I&#8217;ve been doing soon enough. For now, there is room for all in the cyber-universe.</p>
<p><em>TrackerNews</em> could be described as a sort of artisanal aggregator. Content isn&#8217;t driven by datelines, but  contextual relevance (a nod to Alta Haggarty for that wonderful phrase). It is about creating an interesting mix and match, grouping stories (breaking news, research, blog posts, websites, book reviews, e-books, in print, audio, video) to deepen understanding and/or make it easier to see connections.</p>
<p><em>TrackerNews </em>is also not limited by RSS feeds. No matter how many feeds one gathers, there is always much more to be mined from the web. Also, most feeds skew toward breaking news, or what&#8217;s popular. <em>Tracker </em>mixes it up a bit more, often featuring lesser-known stories (research abstracts, for example, or a flashback to an older article). This isn&#8217;t to say that I don&#8217;t scan RSS feeds early and often &#8211; they&#8217;re darn useful. But <em>Tracker</em> is trying to do something a little different.</p>
<p>With such an omnivorous charge and broad beat &#8211; one health, humanitarian work and technology that supports both -  I am always on the look-out for for sources, particularly blogs, that offer the kind of insider&#8217;s depth and insight that can add a real richness to the mix on TrackerNews.</p>
<p>Many are linked on the <em>TrackerNews&#8217; Resources</em> section -  a work in in progress (The <em>Resources</em> section is not intended to be a definitive list, but a good place to begin research. We gratefully link to other aggregators that do a better job covering particular fields).</p>
<p><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-92" title="humanitarian blogs" src="http://trackerblog.files.wordpress.com/2008/12/trackerwebsite.jpg?w=256&#038;h=300" alt="humanitarian blogs" width="256" height="300" />Still, there is no way to acknowledge leads for story links sourced from blogs. After mulling what to do about this unintentionally rude state of affairs, I thought it might be an idea to try occasional shout-outs of thanks from the Editor&#8217;s blog.</p>
<p>For those who aren&#8217;t already familiar with the following, have I got some good links for you!</p>
<p>Today&#8217;s list focuses on humanitarian blogs:</p>
<ul>
<li>Paul Currion&#8217;s blog, <a href="http://www.humanitarian.info" target="_blank">humanitarian.info</a>, arcs from tech reviews, short essays and news-from-the-field, to discussions of overarching issues such as innovation. The comment threads are often as sparky as the posts.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>In fact, that&#8217;s how I formally met Jon Thompson, who writes <a title="Aid Worker Daily" href="http://aidworkerdaily.com/" target="_blank">Aid Worker Daily</a> &#8211; although I had been reading his tech-filled blog for some time. <a href="http://www.humanitarian.info/2008/11/30/the-innovation-fallacy-a-brief-digression/#comments" target="_blank">We traded a few thousand words this week on humanitarian.info</a>, mostly about <em>TrackerNews</em>. It was a thought-triggering, occasionally horn-locking discussion and one that, as Tracker evolves, I very much look forward to continuing.<span id="more-79"></span></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>&#8220;Identifying what works in international development&#8221; is the tagline for Alanna Shaik&#8217;s <a href="http://alannashaikh.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">Blood &amp; Milk </a>blog. Shaik, who holds a master&#8217;s degree in public health, speaks a dazzling array of languages (including Arabic, Urdu and Uzbek) and as worked both for NGO&#8217;s and contractors, brings a unique and eclectic perspective.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Peter Casier runs a warren of blogs and aggregators under <a href="http://www.theroadtothehorizon.org/" target="_blank">The Road to the Horizon</a> banner. So seemingly effortlessly prolific is he, I told him he reminded me of the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Lehrer" target="_blank">Tom Leher</a> line about Mozart: &#8220;When Mozart was my age, he&#8217;d been dead for two years.&#8221; Sigh&#8230; Be sure to click on the &#8220;More&#8221; button in the navigation bar &#8211; and be prepared to lose a few hours.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.fullcirc.com/" target="_blank">Full Circle&#8217;s</a> Nancy White is difficult to categorize and I suspect that is just the way she likes it. She is generous with connections, a restless thinker and as passionate about learning as she is about teaching. You never know for sure what you&#8217;ll be reading on her blog, but chances are she&#8217;ll send you off a tangent that mysteriously and surprisingly tells you  exactly what you need to know. I hear she works for chocolate.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>It was through Nancy that I found Dina Mehta&#8217;s blog, <a href="http://dinamehta.com/" target="_blank">Conversations with Dina</a>. Mehta, a Mumbai-based consultant, weaves together qualitative research and ethnography and writes about social media, with considerable insight on the experience of new technologies. Her continued reporting and analysis in the aftermath of the recent terror attacks in her home city are incisive and moving.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Finally, to round things out, <span class="postedby">Sanjana Hattotuwa&#8217;s <a href="http://ict4peace.wordpress.com" target="_blank">ICT4 Peace</a> blog. Hattotuwa, based in Sri Lanka, focuses on policies that affect how technologies is used, particularly in the developing world. Although some of his posts stretch my limited would-be wonk&#8217;s abilities, he is a beautiful writer of thought-provoking essays. </span></li>
</ul>
<p>That&#8217;s enough for now. As with all things <em>Tracker</em>, we are just warming up&#8230;</p>
<p>( <span style="color:#ff0000;">*twitter-friendly url</span>: http://tinyurl.com/ck2jbs)</p>
<p><span class="postedby"><br />
</span></p>
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		<title>Predicted, Not Prevented: Oil, Pirates and Power</title>
		<link>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2008/11/23/predicted-not-prevented-oil-pirates-and-power/</link>
		<comments>http://trackerblog.trackernews.net/2008/11/23/predicted-not-prevented-oil-pirates-and-power/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Nov 2008 22:49:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>J.A. Ginsburg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[InSTEDD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[maps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[natural gas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TrackerNews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amory Lovins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[L.Hunter Lovins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pirates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Somalia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UNOSAT]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://trackerblog.wordpress.com/?p=25</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When the Great Somali Pirate story broke into the headlines last week, the media&#8217;s first reaction was to make a joke of it. Pirates are Jack Sparrow, popcorn, a night on the couch for a cable-movie marathon and one of the best film scores ever. Piracy is a fake Fendi. Yes, buckles are swashed (if [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=trackerblog.trackernews.net&amp;blog=5409186&amp;post=25&amp;subd=trackerblog&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_39" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 219px"><a href="http://unosat.web.cern.ch/unosat/freeproducts/somalia/Piracy/UNOSAT_SOM_Piracy_Gulf_Aden_Sept08_Lowres_v6.pdf"><img class="size-full wp-image-39" title="piratemapborder" src="http://trackerblog.files.wordpress.com/2008/11/piratemapborder.png?w=468" alt="Reported Incidents of Somali Pirate Attacks and Hijackings in the Gulf of Aden - UNOSAT"   /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Reported Incidents of Somali Pirate Attacks and Hijackings in the Gulf of Aden - UNOSAT</p></div>
<p>When the Great Somali Pirate story broke into the headlines last week, the media&#8217;s first reaction was to make a joke of it. Pirates are <a title="Pirates of the Carribean" href="http://www.disney.go.com/disneypictures/pirates/" target="_blank">Jack Sparrow</a>, popcorn, a night on the couch for a cable-movie marathon and one of the best film scores ever. <em>Piracy</em> is a fake Fendi. Yes, buckles are swashed (if not copied), alcoholism is a job requirement, and mythic monsters are part of the scenery. But pirates are <em>heroes</em>. The villains are the bloodless bureaucrats driven only by corporate greed. Ask any little kid: Who wants to be the tea-sipping dressed-for-success executive from the East India Company for Halloween? Who wants to swill a bit o&#8217; rum and sing about rotten eggs as Captain Jack?</p>
<p>While the pirates of Disneyland swaggered around an imaginary 17th century Caribbean, the 21st century pirates of Somalia, a rag-tag bunch of 1,500 men with nothing to lose and millions of dollars to gain, patrol the Gulf of Aden, holding the world hostage. Still, it is difficult, at least for me, not to take a moment to savor the image of a supertanker stowing $100 million worth of a climate-threatening fossil fuel literally stuck in the water &#8211; a perversely green turn of events.</p>
<div id="attachment_43" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 210px"><a href="http://www.rmi.org/images/PDFs/EnergySecurity/S83-08_FragileDomEnergy.pdf"><img class="size-full wp-image-43" title="lovinsatlantic" src="http://trackerblog.files.wordpress.com/2008/11/lovinsatlantic.png?w=468" alt="&quot;The Fragility of Domestic Energy,&quot; by Amory and L. Hunter Lovins, The Atlantic, November, 1983"   /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">&quot;The Fragility of Domestic Energy,&quot; by Amory and L. Hunter Lovins, The Atlantic, November, 1983</p></div>
<p>News of a robust modern pirate trade took many by surprise, though not the folks at UNOSAT, who have been diligently <a title="Reported Incidents of Reported Attacks and Hijackings in the Gulf of Aden - pdf" href="http://unosat.web.cern.ch/unosat/freeproducts/somalia/Piracy/UNOSAT_SOM_Piracy_Gulf_Aden_Sept08_Lowres_v6.pdf" target="_blank">charting and mapping attacks</a> for some time. Nor was it a surprise to relief workers, who started using <a title="Two Million Somalis Survive on Food Aid Shipped Past Pirates" href="http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/nov2008/2008-11-19-02.asp" target="_blank">escort vessels courtesy of NATO and the Netherlands in 2007 to protect shipments of vital food aid for 2 million people.<br />
</a></p>
<p>Nor was it news to Amory and L. Hunter Lovins who, 25 years ago this month, penned a long article for <a title="The Fragility of Domestic Energy" href="http://www.rmi.org/images/PDFs/EnergySecurity/S83-08_FragileDomEnergy.pdf" target="_blank"><em>T</em><em>he Atlantic</em> magazine</a> spelling out in great detail the dangers of sprawling energy delivery networks:</p>
<p><span style="color:#008000;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>On shipping</strong></span></span>: (emphasis added)</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8230;The lumbering supertankers that bring Middle Eastern<br />
oil halfway around the world to Western ports are also<br />
insecure. <em>Naval planners shudder at the tankers’ vulnerability<br />
to submarines, but even pirates in small boats manage<br />
regularly to board and rob tankers</em> off the coasts of<br />
Singapore and Nigeria. Moreover, it is not at all unusual.</p></blockquote>
<p>Somalia may have been left off the list, but the point is made. As for Nigeria, <a title="Chevron suspends contracts after Nigeria pipeline attack" href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5h_vaF9EsEa2end0doWOsUYuWqBUQ" target="_blank">protesters / militants seem to prefer pipeline sabotage.<br />
</a></p>
<p>(Also see the <a title="What's Really at Stake?" href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/daniel-firger/embowoto-v-chevronem-what_b_138787.html" target="_blank">Bowoto vs. Chevron</a> case currently working its way through U.S. Courts. At issue: Whether the oil giant, enlisting the Nigerian military, used lethal force against unarmed peaceful protesters who occupied an oil platform.)<span id="more-25"></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#008000;"><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">On drilling for oil off the coast of the U.S.</span></strong></span>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Offshore oil is favored by the secretary of the interior,<br />
James Watt, as a secure substitute for Persian Gulf oil. The<br />
Coast Guard says that in good weather it could put a vessel<br />
alongside a threatened platform in the main Gulf of Mexico<br />
fields in eight hours. <em>Only an incompetent saboteur could<br />
fail to destroy the platform in eight minutes.</em></p></blockquote>
<p><span style="color:#008000;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>On the Trans-Alaska Pipeline</strong></span></span>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Our research revealed a comprehensive denial of reality:<br />
policy-makers tend to be so preoccupied with Persian Gulf<br />
oil that they fail to consider the frailty of their favorite<br />
alternatives. The Trans-Alaska Pipeline, for example, carries<br />
a seventh of all the crude oil fed to American refineries.<br />
<em>Its failure would cost more than $700 per second<strong><span style="color:#008000;">*</span></strong>, and<br />
in three winter weeks could turn the line into “the world’s<br />
biggest Chapstick,” as 9 million barrels of hot oil congealed<br />
inside. </em>(The pipeline’s proprietors believe that the<br />
pumps are powerful enough to get the oil moving again,<br />
but no one knows for sure.)</p></blockquote>
<p><em><span style="color:#008000;">*</span> 1982 dollars</em></p>
<p>Just last week, a recently-retired <a title="Agencies respond to oil spill whistle blower" href="http://www.king5.com/business/stories/NW_110308ENV_epa_alaska_spill_folo_SW.1797aa4f2.html" target="_blank">EPA investigator blew the whistle on what looks like sweetheart deal between BP and the U.S. Department of Justice over a fine levied against just such a &#8220;Chapstick&#8221; spill in 2006</a>. According to the investigator, BP had a full year&#8217;s warning that corrosion in a section of pipeline could lead to a catastrophic failure at any time. BP was charged with a misdemeanor and fined $20 million, but since oil prices spiked at news of the pipeline shutdown, it is hard to know how much the company&#8217;s profits suffered, if at all.</p>
<p>Beyond Alaska, a simple Google search yields a gusher of problem pipeline stories. Indeed, one website &#8211; <a title="Iraq Pipeline Watch" href="http://www.iags.org/iraqpipelinewatch.htm" target="_blank">&#8220;Iraq Pipeline Watch</a>&#8220;  lists 469 incidents just in that one country going back to 2003 (as of March 2008, only sporadic updates).</p>
<p><span style="color:#008000;"><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><strong>On alternatives</strong></span></span>:</p>
<blockquote><p>According to a study released by the Solar Energy<br />
Research Institute in 1981, the U.S. could double its energy<br />
efficiency and convert at least a third of its energy supply<br />
to renewable sources within the next two decades. The<br />
institute’s data suggest that such a shift could save several<br />
trillion dollars, make the energy sector deflationary, and<br />
provide as many as a million jobs.</p></blockquote>
<p>Sounds pretty good, doesn&#8217;t it? Imagine what the world would have been like in 2001 &#8211; two decades later &#8211; had this path been followed.</p>
<p>When the Lovins&#8217; wrote their article, foreign oil imports accounted for about 10% of the total energy supply in the U.S., and it was a buyer&#8217;s market. Today, the U.S. imports 60% of its oil, 16% of its natural gas, faces stiff competition for resources &#8211; primarily from China and India &#8211; and a much more volatile and vulnerable world.<strong></strong></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><strong><span style="color:#008000;">________________________________________</span></strong></p>
<p>Watching the Congressional hearings this week, where executives from the Big Three Detroit automakers begged for a multi-billion dollar bailout because &#8220;1 out of 10 American jobs depended on it,&#8221;<strong><span style="color:#008000;">*</span></strong> I kept thinking what an absurdly dumb position to find ourselves in: Why can&#8217;t factory workers be employed to build something else, something better?</p>
<p>After decades of lemonade-out-of-lemons &#8220;teachable moments,&#8221; haven&#8217;t we learned <em>anything</em>? Maybe. The new Obama administration has made jump-starting a &#8220;green economy&#8221; a top priority. It&#8217;s a win-win-win for jobs, energy independence and climate change.</p>
<p>What if pirates boarded an oil supertanker and no one minded? In fact, for &#8220;sequestering carbon,&#8221; they&#8217;d be paid, no extortion required. That&#8217;s the kind of easy booty that would bring a rum-soaked grin to Captain Jack&#8217;s face. Aye, matey. Yo ho to that.</p>
<p><strong><span style="color:#008000;">*</span></strong> <em><a title="How Many Jobs Depend on the Big Three?" href="http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/17/how-many-jobs-depend-on-the-big-three/" target="_blank">The &#8220;1 in 10&#8243; figure is a bit misleading</a>, as the New York Times&#8217; Catherine Rampell explains. </em></p>
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